How to Pick the Maple Leafs vs. Capitals Game with Odds, Spread, Betting Line and Stats – December 28

Published 12:39 am Saturday, December 28, 2024

The game between the Toronto Maple Leafs and the Washington Capitals at 7:00 PM ET on Saturday has a variety of betting options to consider. With that in mind, here’s an in-depth look at our best bets, along with picks and projections.

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Maple Leafs vs. Capitals Picks

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Total Pick

Pick OU: Over 6 (model projecting 6.1 goals)

  • Toronto and its opponent have hit the over on this game’s total (6 goals) 21 times this season.
  • This season, 19 of Washington’s games have featured more than 6 goals.
  • The total for this game (6) is 0.8 less than the combined scoring averages for the Maple Leafs (3.14) and Capitals (3.68).
  • This game’s over/under is 0.6 more than the 5.4 goals these two teams concede per game combined.

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Moneyline Pick

Maple Leafs Moneyline: -117

  • The Maple Leafs have won 57.1% of their games when they’ve been a moneyline favorite this season (16-12).
  • When playing with moneyline odds of -117 or shorter, Toronto is 15-12 (winning 55.6% of the time).
  • Based on this game’s moneyline, the Maple Leafs have an implied probability of 53.9% to win.

Capitals Moneyline: -103

  • In Washington’s 20 games as the underdog on the moneyline this season, it has 13 wins.
  • The Capitals have 13 wins in games when their odds are -103 or longer on the moneyline (in 20 opportunities).
  • Washington’s moneyline gives it an implied probability of 50.7% to win this game.

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Score Prediction

Prediction:
Toronto 4, Washington 3

Maple Leafs Points Leaders

  • Mitchell Marner is one of Toronto’s top contributors this season with 49 points. He has averaged 0.4 goals per game, shooting 14.1%.
  • William Nylander is another of Toronto’s important contributors currently with 41 total points (23 goals and 18 assists) to his name.
  • On 103 shots (for 17 goals) and 19 assists, John Tavares has created 36 points this season.
  • As Toronto’s top goalie, Anthony Stolarz has recorded 9 wins and 5 losses this season while allowing 35 goals with 445 saves.

Capitals Points Leaders

  • Washington’s Dylan Strome has recorded 27 assists and 11 goals in 34 games, good for 38 points.
  • Washington’s Connor McMichael has racked up 29 total points (0.9 per game), with 16 goals and 13 assists.
  • Aliaksei Protas has scored 14 goals and contributed 15 assists for Washington, giving him a point total of 29.
  • Washington’s Logan Thompson is 13-2-2 this season, compiling 433 saves and permitting 41 goals (2.4 goals against average) with a .914 save percentage (ninth-best in the league).

Maple Leafs’ Schedule

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Date Opponent Score Home/Away Moneyline
12/21/2024 Islanders L 6-3 Home -138
12/23/2024 Jets L 5-2 Home -130
12/27/2024 Red Wings W 5-2 Away -135
12/28/2024 Capitals Home -117
12/31/2024 Islanders Home
1/2/2025 Islanders Away
1/4/2025 Bruins Home

Capitals’ Schedule

Date Opponent Score Home/Away Moneyline
12/20/2024 Hurricanes W 3-1 Home +133
12/22/2024 Kings W 3-1 Home -160
12/23/2024 Bruins L 4-1 Away +118
12/28/2024 Maple Leafs Away -103
12/29/2024 Red Wings Away
12/31/2024 Bruins Home
1/2/2025 Wild Home

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Toronto vs. Washington Game Info

  • Date: Saturday, December 28, 2024
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • How to watch on TV: NHL Network
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Location: Toronto, Ontario
  • Venue: Scotiabank Arena

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