UMass vs. Richmond Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – January 4

Published 11:31 pm Friday, January 3, 2025

Saturday’s contest between the UMass Minutemen (5-9, 0-1 A-10) and Richmond Spiders (6-8, 1-0 A-10) squaring off at William D. Mullins Center has a projected final score of 77-70 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of UMass, who is listed as the favorite by our model. The game will begin at 12:00 PM ET on January 4.

Based on our computer prediction, UMass is a good bet to cover the spread, which is listed at 5.5. The two sides are projected to fall short of the 147.5 over/under.

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UMass vs. Richmond Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Saturday, January 4, 2025
  • Time: 12:00 PM ET
  • TV: ESPN+
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Where: Amherst, Massachusetts
  • Venue: William D. Mullins Center
  • Line: UMass -5.5
  • Point total: 147.5
  • Moneyline (to win): UMass -245, Richmond +194

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UMass vs. Richmond Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    UMass 77, Richmond 70

Spread & Total Prediction for UMass vs. Richmond

  • Pick ATS: UMass (-5.5)
  • Pick OU: Under (147.5)

UMass is 5-8-0 against the spread, while Richmond’s ATS record this season is 3-9-0. The Minutemen have a 9-4-0 record hitting the over, while games involving the Spiders have a record of 7-5-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The two teams put up 145.4 points per game combined, 2.1 fewer than this matchup’s over/under. UMass is 3-7 against the spread and 3-7 overall over its last 10 games, while Richmond has gone 3-7 against the spread and 4-6 overall.

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UMass Performance Insights

  • The Minutemen have a -14 scoring differential, putting up 74.2 points per game (218th in college basketball) and allowing 75.2 (280th in college basketball).
  • UMass ranks 80th in the nation at 34.9 rebounds per game. That’s 1.3 more than the 33.6 its opponents average.
  • UMass connects on 5.4 three-pointers per game (352nd in college basketball), 2.6 fewer than its opponents (8).
  • The Minutemen average 88.8 points per 100 possessions (316th in college basketball), while giving up 90 points per 100 possessions (159th in college basketball).
  • UMass has committed 2.1 fewer turnovers per game than its opponents, averaging 11 (136th in college basketball action) while forcing 13.1 (97th in college basketball).

Richmond Performance Insights

  • The Spiders put up 71.2 points per game (279th in college basketball) while allowing 73.6 per outing (250th in college basketball). They have a -34 scoring differential and have been outscored by 2.4 points per game.
  • Richmond falls short in the rebound battle by an average of 1.8 boards. It grabs 32.1 rebounds per game (236th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 33.9.
  • Richmond hits 1.4 fewer threes per game than the opposition, 7.7 (198th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 9.1.
  • Richmond and its opponents have been mostly even in the turnover battle. The Spiders commit 9.5 per game (26th in college basketball) and force 9.6 (338th in college basketball).

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